Calendar An icon of a desk calendar. Cancel An icon of a circle with a diagonal line across. Caret An icon of a block arrow pointing to the right. Email An icon of a paper envelope. Facebook An icon of the Facebook "f" mark. Google An icon of the Google "G" mark. Linked In An icon of the Linked In "in" mark. Logout An icon representing logout. Profile An icon that resembles human head and shoulders. Telephone An icon of a traditional telephone receiver. Tick An icon of a tick mark. Is Public An icon of a human eye and eyelashes. Is Not Public An icon of a human eye and eyelashes with a diagonal line through it. Pause Icon A two-lined pause icon for stopping interactions. Quote Mark A opening quote mark. Quote Mark A closing quote mark. Arrow An icon of an arrow. Folder An icon of a paper folder. Breaking An icon of an exclamation mark on a circular background. Camera An icon of a digital camera. Caret An icon of a caret arrow. Clock An icon of a clock face. Close An icon of the an X shape. Close Icon An icon used to represent where to interact to collapse or dismiss a component Comment An icon of a speech bubble. Comments An icon of a speech bubble, denoting user comments. Comments An icon of a speech bubble, denoting user comments. Ellipsis An icon of 3 horizontal dots. Envelope An icon of a paper envelope. Facebook An icon of a facebook f logo. Camera An icon of a digital camera. Home An icon of a house. Instagram An icon of the Instagram logo. LinkedIn An icon of the LinkedIn logo. Magnifying Glass An icon of a magnifying glass. Search Icon A magnifying glass icon that is used to represent the function of searching. Menu An icon of 3 horizontal lines. Hamburger Menu Icon An icon used to represent a collapsed menu. Next An icon of an arrow pointing to the right. Notice An explanation mark centred inside a circle. Previous An icon of an arrow pointing to the left. Rating An icon of a star. Tag An icon of a tag. Twitter An icon of the Twitter logo. Video Camera An icon of a video camera shape. Speech Bubble Icon A icon displaying a speech bubble WhatsApp An icon of the WhatsApp logo. Information An icon of an information logo. Plus A mathematical 'plus' symbol. Duration An icon indicating Time. Success Tick An icon of a green tick. Success Tick Timeout An icon of a greyed out success tick. Loading Spinner An icon of a loading spinner. Facebook Messenger An icon of the facebook messenger app logo. Facebook An icon of a facebook f logo. Facebook Messenger An icon of the Twitter app logo. LinkedIn An icon of the LinkedIn logo. WhatsApp Messenger An icon of the Whatsapp messenger app logo. Email An icon of an mail envelope. Copy link A decentered black square over a white square.

KEZIA DUGDALE: Sunak and Sturgeon are speaking, but is Scottish independence better left on hold?

Image shows Nicola Sturgeon and Rishi Sunak. Both are holding phones.
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak spoke to First Minister Nicola Sturgeon by phone on his first day in office.

The Prime Minister phoned the First Minister on his first day in office.

The fact that he is receiving plaudits for the move this morning shows how low the bar is when it comes to intergovernmental relations.

This is an important and timely moment to press Control + Alt Delete on the relationship between the SNP and Conservative governments.

No doubt things will improve in the short-term. But the same lagging system errors will persist.

The one thing Nicola Sturgeon and her party want is the one thing Rishi Sunak is determined to deny her.

And that’s a referendum on Scottish independence.

image shows the writer Kezia Dugdale next to a quote: "While Nicola Sturgeon might want a general election today, the truth is her cause will grow stronger the further into the future that day comes."

She argues that she has a mandate for a second referendum because there’s a majority for it in the Scottish Parliament as the result of last election.

Rishi Sunak values mandates too.

He’s relying on the one the country gave his party in the 2019 election as the reason why he doesn’t need to call a general election today.

That’s despite all the dramatic political and economic events that have come to the fore in the past three years.

Both want their own mandate respected while the other is dismissed.

So don’t expect the Prime Minister to drop his opposition to another referendum.

Nor should we anticipate the First Minister abandoning her demands for an immediate general election.

Nicola Sturgeon won’t be the hardest call for Rishi Sunak

We used to say a week was a long time in politics.

Now seeing a politician surviving a day with the same standing that they began it with feels like an achievement.

In that context, Rishi Sunak has had a good start.

The markets have relaxed a little.

There were very few dissenting voices in response to the shape of his cabinet.

photo shows Rishi Sunak with members of his cabinet round a meeting table in Downing Street.
Prime Minister Rishi Sunak holds his first Cabinet meeting in Downing street. Image: Stefan Rousseau/PA Wire.

Equally, he pulled off a statesman-like arrival into Downing Street, quite literally making all the right calls.

Yet there’s no question that each day he faces in office will be harder than the one before. Particularly when the economic reality of his first fiscal statement is laid bare.

He’s taking his time over the key decisions within it.

It’s hardly surprising that he wants to get “under the bonnet”, given the time he spent as Chancellor.

Yet it’s still a strong signal of how defining a moment he knows this will be.

Photo shows former prime minister Liz Truss walking ahead of her chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng.
Rishi Sunak must deal with the fallout from Liz Truss and Kwasi Kwarteng’s brief tenure as PM and chancellor. Image: Tom Bowles/Story Picture Agency/Shutterstock.

While we await pronouncements on what he’ll do about uprating benefits in line with inflation (something he supported in his leadership campaign) or maintaining the pension triple lock (a commitment the Tories made in the 2019 election), he has to decide whether the country can afford it.

And no one can doubt that public finances are substantially weaker now after seven weeks of Liz Truss in power.

Will Sunak budget cuts boost Sturgeon case for Indyref2?

If he keeps those promises, deeper cuts will be required elsewhere in order to fill the circa £40 billion black hole in the books.

Does that mean cutting the NHS as it recovers from Covid?

Anything less than a 10% increase to NHS funding is a real terms cut because of inflation.

Photo shows Nicola Sturgeon waving from a podium at the SNP conference.
Big budget cuts by Rishi Sunak may provide a boost for Nicola Sturgeon and the Scottish independence movement. Image: Andrew Milligan/PA Wire.

What about defence?

A department used to having its budget salami sliced away must surely think it’s safe with a critical war in Ukraine expected to endure.

If he doesn’t want to cut budgets, he’ll have to raise taxes.

Will his party thole that?

Is their newfound party unity a strong enough bond to survive that?

Every one of those decisions will play into the SNP’s hands, re-energising their cause for independence.

While Nicola Sturgeon might want a general election today, the truth is that her cause will grow stronger the further into the future that day comes.

Conversation